Schwetty Weather

As a native Minnesotan, I neither like nor am I capable of handling sustained hot and humid temperatures.  With that said, it does bring me great pleasure to say we may be breaking the triple-digit mark today.  Woo-hoo record highs!  Hey, I need to find some bit of pleasure in all of this hot, grossness.

Today looks to be the hottest day yet with temperatures hovering around 100 degrees.  Humidity levels with be high once again as well.  With the humid, unstable air we could very well see some afternoon showers/t-storms again like we've seen the past couple of days.  During the day however, it will be hot.  The NWS has issued an Excessive Heat Warning with heat indices around 105.  W/SW winds will keep temperatures along LI should be a bit cooler but it will still be quite warm.  Lows tonight will be lucky to get out of the 80s.  Much of the same tomorrow, unfortunately, maybe not quite as hot as today but still well into the 90s.  Relief may come Wednesday in the form of a cold front from the upper midwest but with our strong high pressure system (the one making things so pleasant) it may take longer to move eastward, so we may not see relief until Thursday.  Keep cool my babies!

Today:  Sunny and hot.  High 100.  Winds W@9-12mph

Tonight: A few clouds and very warm.  Low 79.  Winds @ 5-7mph

Tomorrow: Sunny and hot again.  High 97.  Winds SW @ 9-13mph.

Repent!

Well folks, I hope your affairs are in order and you are all well-hydrated because today will be our last day of cool, pleasant weather.  Clouds will cover the skies for the early part of the day.  We have a large high-pressure system centered east of the Carolinas which will begin to advect warm, wet Atlantic air up the coast into our region.  That should start late this afternoon/evening; look for dewpoints to increase and our temps won't budge until morning, and even then they don't go down much.

Saturday looks to be quite warm with the southerly flow in full-effect as temps climb into the low 90s.  However, for those taking in the Belmont Stakes, LI should be a little bit cooler with the southerly ocean breeze keeping temps in the mid/upper 80s.

Sunday looks to be probably the hottest day of the weekend with the high pressure ridge centered over NY.  Temps Sun will be in the mid 90s going back down to the low 90s on Monday.  We don't get a reprieve from the hotness until Tuesday.  

A few final tidbits on this weekends forecast:  This air will not only be quite hot but humid as well, so nighttime temps won't fall much.  Saturday's and Sunday's low temps could very well be in the upper 70s (77), for a LOW.  This hot humid air also means a rogue afternoon t-storm may be possible.  I think Sunday is the most likely day.  So be aware that one could pop up during the afternoon.  Other than that, stay cool and classy New York.

Today: Cloudy and cool with some afternoon sun.  High 74. Winds S @ 8-10mph.

Tonight:  Scattered clouds.  Evening temps in the low 70s, down to 69 by morning.  Winds S @ 5mph.

Tomorrow:  Sunny and warm.  High 94.  Winds S/SW @ 8-12mph.

Tomorrow Night: Clear and muggy:  Low 76. 

Sunday:  Hot and humid:  High 97.  

Crappizza!

Remember a few years ago when Domino's came out with those new delivery bags that were supposed to keep your pizzas piping hot for an entire fortnight?  Those bags were called the "Heat Wave", which happens to be the story for this forecast. (Didn't you like how I combined "crap" and "pizza" into one word? It sounds very Italian-y)  And while our heat wave will not last 14 days, it will go on for about 4 or 5 (but there's no cool, medieval term for 4-5 days, as far as I know).

Low pressure is moving off the coast even as we speak and is taking most of the leftover rain with it.  Dry day today, but should remain overcast until at least late afternoon, looking at the satellite pic.  There may be a few breaks here and there but overall not a good day for tanning.  Clouds dominate the skies for tonight as well, and there's a slight chance of an isolated shower, but I think most of the precip will stay north and west of NYC.

Tomorrow the winds turn to the south and that starts up the heat engine.  That southerly flow will pump warm, humid air into our region (n0 M-word, Katie).  High pressure looks to be in control until at least Monday maybe Tuesday with this flow pattern, meaning that temps will be hot and muggy and New Yorkers will be even more pleasant than usual.

Today: Cloudy with a few rays of sunshine in the afternoon.  High 73.  Winds E @ 7-8mph.

Tonight: Overcast skies with a very slight possibility of showers towards morning.  Evening lows in the upper 60s down to 61 by morning.  Light SE winds.

Tomorrow: Clouds with some afternoon sun.  High 76. Winds S @ 7-10mph.

Weekend Outlook: HOT HOT HOT! Temperatures in the low 90s thru Monday.  Slight chances for isolated afternoon t-storms Sunday and Monday.

Truant! Truant!

In typical Sam-fashion, my forecast is coming in an hour late.  Sue me.

The warm front that was meandering it's way through the mid-Atlantic states has now become a stationary front.  Because of this and upper-level dynamics (or lack thereof) the chance for rain has gone down a bit.  As you can clearly see by looking outside there is a lot of moisture in the air, but there isn't enough power in the atmosphere to get it up high enough where it can generate storms.  However, that doesn't mean there won't be any hot, storm-action.  

Currently, there are storms popping up in WVa and SW PA.  These storms should follow the front which looks to move east through MD and southern NJ.  We may certainly see some of its effects, but the bulk will go off to the south of us.  As of now, it looks like the most likely chance for rain won't be until after 10pm and will probably end by morning.

Tomorrow the rain should clear out but we'll still have some lingering clouds, especially in the morning.  There is a slight chance of a random afternoon shower or t-storm.  The instability and humidity may still be high enough tomorrow afternoon to generate a few isolated storms.  It's not uber-likely, but it is something to be aware of.  After that, high pressure will reclaim the northeast and we should be in store for a hot, dry couple of days.  Most likely throughout the weekend.  Wow, a weekend forecast on a Wednesday.  That should make up for my lateness.

Today:  Cloudy and hazy with an afternoon shower.  High 70.  Winds E @ 8-10mph.

Tonight:  Probable evening shower with showers and t-storms overnight.  Evening lows in the upper 60s down to 64 by morning.  Winds NE @ 7-10mph.

Tomorrow:  Clouds through early afternoon then clearing.  Isolated afternoon showers.  High 75.  Winds E @ 6-8mph.

Weather On the 9:34s

I'm going to be making a more detailed forecast in an hour or so, but for those who check the weather early I wanted to give you a brief rundown for today.

Right now we have two areas of low pressure.  A weak one which is currently over LI and a slightly stronger one that is over Chicago.  The LI low, which brought us the early morning rain is moving offshore and the Chicago low will track east this afternoon.  It looks to be moving along a warm front that will bring us another, if not several, rounds of showers and maybe a t-storm this afternoon.  The rain has stopped for now but will resume later today.  Check back round 11:3o for a more accurate, up to date forecast.  

A Quickie

Once again the folks in Texas are screwing me up.  But I can certainly give you an accurate breakdown without them.

Another clear day today for the most part.  The high pressure blob that has been sitting on us for the last few days is moving off the coast today.  That means that the winds will switch around to the south/southwest and funnel in some warm, moist, southern air.  Later this afternoon a cold front drops down out of Quebec and stops about midway across upstate NY.  The combination of southerly flow, an oncoming (but not passing) cold front and a sunny day will drive temperatures up into the mid 80s, with higher humidities as well.  There is a bit of a chance for a random afternoon shower but it will most likely be found north of us.  Expect one more clear, warm day.

Tonight an advancing low pressure from the Great Lakes will bring in some showers and t-storms for early Wednesday morning.  Showers and t-storms are likely throughout Wednesday, but probably nothing severe as not all the elements are in place for a severe outbreak; but some nice stormies none the less.  Low pressure moves out Wednesday night followed by slightly cooler, drier air.  Notice I say "slightly".  No major changes.  That clearing should remain throughout the weekend as temperatures climb back into the mid/upper 80s for the weekend.

Today:  Sunny.  High 87.  Southwest winds @ 6-13mph.

Tonight:  Clouds move in.  Rain likely by morning.  Evening lows in the upper 70s; and only down to 64 by morning.  South winds @ 8-10mph.

Tomorrow:  Periods of rain and thunderstorms.  High 74. South winds @12-15mph.

Messin' with Texas... A&M

Unfortunately, for the last 12+ hrs the Texas A&M weather interface page has been down.  Which means my temperatures today may be well off.  Although, they were off by 5 degrees yesterday so I guess I can't do much worse, right?

Currently, we are in the last stages of a trough making its way off-shore.  High pressure builds in today from Ohio and PA.  This will give us another warm, pleasant day across the region.  With the high pressure moving in and little cloud-cover, we can expect temperatures to be about the same as yesterday, however there is a bit of sinking air (in the vertical direction) to our north, which may keep highs a degree or two less than yesterday, but it will be marginal.  The coasts will remain a bit cooler, if you happen to be playing Bueller and taking the day off.  And if you are, you suck.

Tonight we'll have clear skies again, and we'll have a bit of cooling with no clouds and little humidity.  Lows should be around 60.  Tomorrow, high pressure remains in control and the winds turn SW, which will pump even warmer temperatures and some higher humidities into NYC.  Early Wednesday morning a cold front passes through the area giving us a chance for some rain on Wednesday.

Today:  Sunny and clear.  High 82.  Winds NW @ 8-10mph.

Tonight:  Clear.  Evening temps in the mid 70s down to 61 by morning.

Tomorrow:  Sunny and warm.  High 86. Winds SW @ 9-12 mph.

Outlook: A likely dose of showers and t-storms for Wednesday; Thursday clears up which should hold through the weekend.  Long enough for Big Brown to win the Triple Crown.  Hey, that rhymes.