Farewell!

After an Arrested Developlment-like run I'm afraid to inform my readers that Samcast is ending.  I have taken a meteorology position in Minneapolis/St. Paul and unfortunately will be unable to provide New Yorkers with the uber-accurate (and witty) forecasts you've all come to know and love.  I thank you all for logging on and reading and I wish you all the very best.

Half-Marathon Forecast

As far as I can tell, the runners tomorrow should have almost ideal weather conditions.  Temperatures could be a little lower, but they're not too bad considering it is July and it is New York.  Highs around race-time should be in the low 70s and into the low to mid 70s by race-end.  Some clouds will help make temps seem a lot cooler, especially on the areas of the course where there is no shade. Humidity levels will be a bit higher than today but it won't be too steamy.  There will be a slight headwind going south as there will be light SW winds.  We are likely to see some showers and t-storms tomorrow but they should hold off until after the race.  Overall, not too shabby.  Good luck to everyone and stay safe!

Tomorrow morning:  Cloudy skies with temps around 72-74 degrees.  SW winds @ 4-8 mph.

Tomorrow afternoon:  Cloudy skies with showers and t-storms in the afternoon and evening hrs.  High 84.  Winds SW @ 6-10 mph.

Tomorrow night:  Showers and t-storms likely.  Low 73.  Winds SW @ 4-7 mph.

Monday:  Clouds and sun with afternoon showers/t-storms.  High 87.

"Fresh" Air

Our turtle-like cold front has finally passed and, as you can probably guess, high pressure has taken control.  This means cooler, and more importantly, drier air.  I was actually able to open my windows last night for the first time in weeks!  

These drier, more pleasant conditions should persist through tonight and throughout the day tomorrow.  Tomorrow night, another cold front begins to move in from the Great Lakes and it looks like we may see some rain overnight Saturday and into early Sunday morning for the people running the half-marathon.  I'll give my running friends a more detailed forecast either this afternoon or tomorrow.  Until then, enjoy the sunshine!

Today:  Sunny and drier.  High 87.  Winds W switching to S @ 6-8 mph.

Tonight:  Clear.  Low 68.  Light SW winds.

Tomorrow:  Sunny with a few clouds developing in the afternoon.  High 88.  Winds S @ 7-11 mph.

Two Of Every... Forget It

Today's forecast is not looking nearly as bleak as it did yesterday at this time.  Yesterday, after I forecasted, I began building an ark 80 cubits in length.  But then there was this issue of wood and also I had to go to work so it didn't really get finished . . . or started.  But that's ok because our situation is not as grim as I thought it might be.

The front is almost directly overhead of us now and will completely pass through later this afternoon.  It is still pretty slow-moving (we've received over 1.25" of rain so far) and that means the showers that are going on right now will persist into the late morning hours.  However, once they stop (probably in the next 2-3 hrs) we should be done with the rain.  There is a large dry-sector of air behind the front so once it passes through there should be very little moisture to work with for this afternoon and evening.  And it's a good thing too because I got a C in jr. high shop class.

Today:  Rain through this morning then cloudy.  High 77.  Winds S @ 9-16 mph.

Tonight: Cloudy.  Low 69.  Winds NW @ 5 mph.

Tomorrow:  Sunny and dry.  High 85.  Winds SSW @ 5-8 mph.

Water Water Everywhere

I apologize for not making a forecast yesterday.  Mostly, it was just so boring that I couldn't bring myself to make an interesting forecast.  Luckily, we are going to be having some sexy weather over the next few days.  That is, if you find windy, t-storms with torrential rain sexy... which I do.

The main culprit for these storms will be a slow-moving cold front working it's way eastward.  The front is currently draped across western PA and NY.  It will slowly move east today and will not fully push out until late tomorrow.  Behind it, we have a deep low pressure system that will get together with the front and create some hot, stormy-love.

As you have probably noticed we've had some showers/t-storms moving through the area this morning.  The rain will subside here in the city for the next few hrs and then resume later on this afternoon with greater intensity.  Some storms could be severe and justly the SPC has put us under a "Slight" risk.  The greatest risk from the storms looks to just be heavy rain and winds but there is a possibility there could even be hail or a tornado, although the best chances for that will be more upstate.

Tomorrow, the risk of severe storms subsides but the likelihood for rain goes up even more.  The computer models are not in complete agreement with each other but I think we can expect a decent amount of rain.  We could easily see over 2" of rain before all's said and done on Thurs night.  It looks to be more of an all-day rain event, but there will definitely be periods of heavier rain.  The NWS has put out a Flash Flood Watch that, in my opinion, will probably become a warning by tomorrow or even later today.  Umbrellas may be necessary.

Today:  Cloudy with showers and t-storms developing early this afternoon.  High 80.  Winds SE @ 10-15 mph.

Tonight:  Showers and t-storms throughout the night.  Low 72.  Winds SE @ 12-16mph.

Tomorrow:  Showers and t-storms throughout the day.  Heavy rain possible.  High 78.  Winds SE @ 12-20mph.

Tornado!

Here's a pretty sick picture of a tornado that touched down in Hugo, MN Northeast of Minneapolis.  (Thanks Adam!)  Just so you all know- we don't (or at least I don't) condone ever getting this close to a tornado- however wicked a picture you might get.  

I Came Back For This???

After experiencing a beautiful week of midwestern weather, one that even included a day of severe t-storms, I was disgusted yesterday by what I came back to.  As my two year old nephews would say "Garbage."  And unfortunately this garbage weather is going to persist for two more days.

We have a similar setup to the previous heat-waves that have been plaguing us this summer.  Ridge of high pressure, and hot humid air being scooped up from the SW.  This scenario will continue until Tues afternoon when a cold front makes it way eastward out of the Great Lakes.  This should bring us some more seasonable temperatures for later in the week.

As for this hurricane Cristobal I've been hearing about... yeah, I've heard nothing.  It looks like it will pose no threat for us, but I'm going to refer you to the National Hurricane Center.  Coming from WI, we tend to not delve too deep into hurricane forecasting.

Today:  Hot and humid with scattered afternoon showers/t-storms.  High 91.  Winds SW @ 5-10 mph.

Tonight: Isolated showers/t-storms.  Then clearing.  Low 76.  Winds S @ 4-6 mph.

Tomorrow:  Humid and warm.  Afternoon showers/t-storms are possible.  High 88.