Water Water Everywhere

I apologize for not making a forecast yesterday.  Mostly, it was just so boring that I couldn't bring myself to make an interesting forecast.  Luckily, we are going to be having some sexy weather over the next few days.  That is, if you find windy, t-storms with torrential rain sexy... which I do.

The main culprit for these storms will be a slow-moving cold front working it's way eastward.  The front is currently draped across western PA and NY.  It will slowly move east today and will not fully push out until late tomorrow.  Behind it, we have a deep low pressure system that will get together with the front and create some hot, stormy-love.

As you have probably noticed we've had some showers/t-storms moving through the area this morning.  The rain will subside here in the city for the next few hrs and then resume later on this afternoon with greater intensity.  Some storms could be severe and justly the SPC has put us under a "Slight" risk.  The greatest risk from the storms looks to just be heavy rain and winds but there is a possibility there could even be hail or a tornado, although the best chances for that will be more upstate.

Tomorrow, the risk of severe storms subsides but the likelihood for rain goes up even more.  The computer models are not in complete agreement with each other but I think we can expect a decent amount of rain.  We could easily see over 2" of rain before all's said and done on Thurs night.  It looks to be more of an all-day rain event, but there will definitely be periods of heavier rain.  The NWS has put out a Flash Flood Watch that, in my opinion, will probably become a warning by tomorrow or even later today.  Umbrellas may be necessary.

Today:  Cloudy with showers and t-storms developing early this afternoon.  High 80.  Winds SE @ 10-15 mph.

Tonight:  Showers and t-storms throughout the night.  Low 72.  Winds SE @ 12-16mph.

Tomorrow:  Showers and t-storms throughout the day.  Heavy rain possible.  High 78.  Winds SE @ 12-20mph.