Friday, June 20, 2008

Stop Whining!

Lately people have been complaining that I do not make weekend forecasts.  I want to say two things: 1) this is free people, what right do you have to complain?  I am providing a service, free of charge and all you can do is say is "Why don't you tell us what Sunday will be like? Meh, I want to know which day is better to go to the park. Wah!"  Gimme a break, jerks.  And 2) shoot, I forgot what my second opinion was after that rant.

I apologize for making all this "slight chance of shower/t-storm" BS.  It's very "Tesch-y" of me.  Unfortunately, I don't have a choice.  Convection is a very random, difficult to predict event, much like the Euro Championships (at least for my pool).  Today we have a similar story. We're starting off with sun and a little haze which should burn off by mid-moring.  Some unstable air will develop later this afternoon, leading to some isolated showers/t-storms.  I think most should stay off to our north and we'll remain dry, but I can't rule out a rogue party crasher.

Tonight the rain, if any, will end pretty early and we begin to see the effects of the Bermudan high which is developing off the coast of SC and GA.  This will funnel warm, humid air up the coast for Saturday.  Slightly above average temps with this scenario, nothing too unbearable though.  Yesterday it looked like Saturday was going to be another convective head-scratcher but it looks more like our air mass should remain relatively stable and we'll stay dry.

Early Sunday a low in the western Carolinas will lumber up through the mid-Atlantic states into New England.  This with the addition of the warm, wet Atlantic air will likely create a rainy Sunday.  NWS is being wishy-washy with their forecast and can't decide between a rain event or a shower/t-storm event.  I expect it to be more of a rain event.  We'll just have to wait and see who's right (wow, this is just like a reality show!)  In any case, expect some precipitation from late Sat night through the evening on Sunday.  So don't complain to me on Monday that you waited until Sunday to have your fun.

Today:  Sunny with a possible isolated shower/t-storm in the afternoon.  High 78.  Winds SW @ 9-11mph.
Tonight:  Possible evening shower then clearing.  Evening lows in the mid 70s down to 65 by morning.  Winds SW to W @ 5 mph.
Saturday:  Sunny and warmer.  High 85.  Winds S @ 10-13 mph.
Saturday Night:  Possible late-evening shower or t-storm.  Low 69.
Sunday:  Rain.  High 77.  

2 comments:

Kate Oblonsky said...

Please tell me within the next 8 minutes what the weather will be like at my cabin for Crystal's bachelorette party this weekend. Annnnnndddd.... Go.

pecochran said...

It will be partly Boone's Farm-y, with a slight chance of Sauna Dehydration induced headaches.