Storm Trooper

It appears as though I was a little off on my rain prediction, seeing as we already have some light rain falling.  Hopefully I can get the rest of the day right.

A cold front will slide down from the northwest today and give us a good chance for some showers and t-storms.  As in most meteorological cases, timing is everything.  Currently, the front is running through northern OH and PA and extends through north-central NY and curves up through the Adirondacks and up through northern Vermont.  It is scheduled to pass through SE NY early this evening, but I think may arrive earlier.  If it does arrive earlier the chances for t-storms and anything fun will be greatly diminished.

Currently we have some cloud cover and light showers over our area, but behind this we have an area of clear skies.  Behind the clearing is the actual front, where there is very little action now but come this afternoon could turn into some attractive storms.  The Storm Prediction Center in Normal, OK has put out a "Slight Chance Risk" of severe storms that includes NYC.  The danger we face will be strong winds and possibly small hail within any developing t-storms.  Only a small chance, but something to keep an eye on.  The clear skies ahead of the front and the time it passes will be the keys to developing any real strong storms.  If the front hits before, say 3pm, the chances of it being severe is much lower.  However, if the front doesn't pass until closer to, say 6pm, the chances of those storms being severe is much higher.  My instincts say it will pass earlier, but my heart wants some sexy weather.  I'm torn.

Today: Clouds early, then some sun, storms this afternoon (most likely from 4-7pm).  Humid.  High 83.  Winds SW switching to NW this afternoon @ 11-15mph.

Tonight:  Showers and t-storms early evening, then clearing.  Low 55. Winds N @ 12-16mph.

Tomorrow: Sunny and cooler.  High 67.