Wednesday, July 9, 2008

(No Funny Title Day)

After several days in a simulated steam room, our weather will be going to back to more seasonal conditions after today.  The culprit, or in this case, the savior, is a cold front coming in from the Great Lakes.  It is currently draped across western NY/PA, more or less right down the middle of lakes Erie and Ontario.  It will be working it's way SE throughout the day today and should bring some showers and thunderstorms into our area this afternoon and evening.

Today's storms look to be much more widespread than the afternoon storms we've had lately, but they probably won't go severe.  Upper level dynamics do not support anything too serious (or fun) but the further north you go the likelihood of severe weather goes up.  Westchester might have it worse than we do in the city but most of the severe weather will be further upstate towards Albany.

Looking at the current radar and satellite screens two things stand out.  One, widespread cloud cover should keep things from getting too hot today.  And two, it looks like we'll most likely see two rounds of storms.  The first will coming across from NJ late this morning, my guess is between 11 and noon.  The second will be coming from the main frontal system which looks to hit the area sometime between 5pm and 8pm this evening.  Widespread showers/t-storms are likely through probably midnight at least, maybe longer.  Storms have a lot of liquid ammo to work with, so heavy rain and some flooding is a possibility.  The good news is by tomorrow temperatures will be much closer to average and the humidity levels will be down significantly.  Hooray cold fronts!

Today:  Sun and clouds early with thunderstorms developing in the late afternoon.  High 86.  Winds SW @ 11-15 mph.
Tonight:  Showers and t-storms ending after midnight.  Heavy rainfall possible.  Low 70.  Winds NW @ 10-12 mph.
Tomorrow:  Sunny and cooler.  High 87.  Winds W @ 10-13 mph.

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